Mumbai: India could experience a challenging weather pattern in 2026 as early signals point to the possible return of El Nino, according to a report by Hindustan Times, citing the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). The global climate body has indicated that warming ocean temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are increasing the likelihood of El Nino conditions forming between May and July.
El Nino is a recurring climate phenomenon linked to the warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. This shift disrupts normal atmospheric circulation, influencing rainfall and temperature patterns across the globe. As noted by Hindustan Times, such conditions are often associated with reduced monsoon rainfall and rising temperatures in India.
The WMO’s latest projections suggest that the developing El Nino could intensify later in the year, potentially amplifying its impact. Forecasts also point to above-normal land temperatures globally during this period, raising concerns about prolonged heat and uneven rainfall distribution.
In India, El Nino events have historically been linked with weaker monsoons, which play a crucial role in supporting agriculture and water resources. Experts highlight that the phenomenon tends to weaken the monsoon circulation, leading to below-average rainfall in several regions.
The expected weather pattern has sparked concerns about the combined impact of heatwaves and rainfall deficits. With rising global temperatures already contributing to extreme weather conditions, the potential return of El Nino could further intensify these effects.
Authorities and climate agencies are closely monitoring developments as the season approaches. While forecasts remain subject to change, early warnings underscore the need for preparedness to manage possible disruptions in water supply, agriculture, and daily life.
The report underscores that the evolving climate situation may result in a difficult year for India, with both higher temperatures and reduced rainfall likely shaping weather conditions in 2026.
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