New Delhi : The Trinamool Congress is likely to repeat its 2024 performance and retain almost all the seats it won, according to the India Today–CVoter Mood of the Nation (MOTN) survey. The Trinamool Congress bettered its 2019 performance by winning 29 of the 42 seats in West Bengal, while the BJP finished a distant second with 12 seats.
The Trinamool Congress’s tally is projected to dip slightly to 28 seats, while the BJP is expected to marginally increase its seat share to 14 seats if general elections were held today. This marks a rise from the 11 seats the BJP was projected to win in the MOTN survey’s August edition. The August survey had projected the Trinamool Congress to increase its tally to 31 seats, which has now been revised downward to 28 seats in the latest edition.
The survey comes barely two months ahead of the West Bengal Assembly elections and loosely serves as an indicator of the current mood among voters in the poll-bound state. According to the 2026 MOTN survey, the BJP-led NDA is expected to register a three-percentage-point rise in its vote share, increasing from 39 per cent to 42 per cent.
The Mood of the Nation (MOTN) survey was conducted over the past eight weeks with a nationwide sample size of more than 1.25 lakh respondents, and it predicts the BJP-led NDA will win over 350 seats. However, West Bengal is increasingly turning into a bipolar contest and becoming more sharply polarised, said CVoter founder-director Yashwant Deshmukh.
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